Somalia sanctions and arms embargo
Partially lifted for federal forces; al-Shabaab measures retained.
Watch: Renewal votes and any panel-of-experts findings on diversion of weapons.
Diplomacy tracker
Recognition talks, Security Council votes and arms-control negotiations
Where Somaliland's recognition diplomacy stands, which Horn of Africa files are live at the UN Security Council, and the state of the arms-control tracks that shape the wider security picture — with a live feed of new developments underneath.
Somaliland recognition talks
| Counterpart | Status | Where it stands |
|---|---|---|
| Israel | advancing | Recognition marks Somaliland's first breakthrough with a UN member state and reframes every other conversation Hargeisa is having. |
| United States (Congress & executive) | active | Repeated congressional interest in Berbera and a security relationship, without a formal change in the one-Somalia policy. |
| Ethiopia | stalled | The memorandum on sea access remains the central bilateral file; implementation has slowed under Turkish and Gulf mediation. |
| United Arab Emirates | active | Port and base investment at Berbera continues as de facto engagement short of recognition. |
| United Kingdom | active | Development and security engagement with Hargeisa, with recognition treated as a matter for the African Union and the region. |
| African Union | stalled | The 2005 fact-finding mission's findings have never been converted into a formal decision on Somaliland's case. |
| Somalia (Mogadishu) | suspended | Talks between Mogadishu and Hargeisa have been repeatedly suspended; both sides dispute the framework and the mediator. |
Background and argument: Somaliland has won recognition — now it must win the peace.
UN Security Council files
AU mission funding in Somalia
Hybrid funding under Resolution 2719 remains contested.
Watch: Whether assessed contributions are approved before the next transition milestone.
Sudan
Repeated calls for ceasefire and humanitarian access; vetoes have blocked stronger texts.
Watch: Panel reporting on external arms supply and any move on civilian-protection mandates.
Red Sea shipping security
Condemnation and reporting requirements; enforcement remains coalition-led outside the Council.
Watch: Whether monitoring mandates are extended or allowed to lapse.
Ethiopia / regional stability
No standing country mandate; handled through briefings and presidential statements.
Watch: Any request for Council consideration of Ethiopia–Eritrea tensions.
Arms-control negotiations
New START successor
suspendedInspections remain halted and no successor framework has been negotiated, leaving central limits without verification.
Iran nuclear file
stalledIndirect contacts continue without a restored agreement; IAEA access is the practical measure of progress.
North Korea
suspendedNo negotiating track; testing and doctrine statements continue.
Autonomous weapons
activeUN General Assembly work continues towards an instrument on lethal autonomous systems, opposed by several major producers.
Small arms in the Horn
activeRegional efforts through IGAD and the Nairobi Protocol on marking, tracing and stockpile control.
Nuclear-weapon-free zones
activeThe Pelindaba Treaty covers Africa; the pressure point is compliance reporting rather than membership.
- • Advancing — a concrete, verifiable step has been taken in the last months.
- • Active — talks or mechanisms are running, without a decisive step.
- • Stalled — a framework exists but has not moved.
- • Suspended — the track is not currently operating.
Live feed — new diplomatic developments
Security Council proceedings, mediation, sanctions diplomacy and arms-control reporting — live refresh is only active on horncompass.world